Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.365710 3.885269 4.455946 5.128962 5.900697 6.757717 7.781463
2025-01-12 2.584154 3.249299 4.041603 5.053796 6.311585 7.822309 9.774109
2025-01-19 1.949552 2.642799 3.529466 4.744291 6.363318 8.444772 11.322570
2025-01-26 1.663991 2.411267 3.429130 4.912508 7.014901 9.883682 14.092077
2025-02-02 1.491243 2.294503 3.452189 5.235180 7.904815 11.745797 17.684439
2025-02-09 1.298173 2.110751 3.344192 5.342504 8.488398 13.238362 20.941797
2025-02-16 1.132650 1.938015 3.220430 5.397252 8.985701 14.648749 24.243141
2025-02-23 0.960568 1.724449 2.996750 5.252957 9.136062 15.522237 26.791272
2025-03-02 0.803349 1.509206 2.735833 5.002552 9.065022 16.009749 28.740491
2025-03-09 0.716043 1.403024 2.644670 5.028185 9.462521 17.317624 32.230292
2025-03-16 0.621595 1.268363 2.482326 4.899478 9.560234 18.102314 34.870592
2025-03-23 0.588508 1.246423 2.524845 5.157029 10.401199 20.315772 40.380453
2025-03-30 0.546413 1.202568 2.523862 5.339595 11.140939 22.463411 46.102739
2025-04-06 0.491647 1.123971 2.442976 5.351005 11.544007 24.015086 50.862113
2025-04-13 0.418450 0.993858 2.237325 5.073702 11.317094 24.288260 53.076760
2025-04-20 0.394843 0.971122 2.257346 5.283759 12.149031 26.822763 60.304733
2025-04-27 0.384503 0.977546 2.342304 5.649216 13.367127 30.310695 69.994004
2025-05-04 0.358107 0.941131 2.324490 5.776208 14.063621 32.748489 77.660109
2025-05-11 0.330588 0.897484 2.283414 5.842033 14.625559 34.949334 85.048851
2025-05-18 0.293812 0.824093 2.159987 5.690005 14.647214 35.916860 89.685197
2025-05-25 0.255676 0.740708 1.999465 5.421450 14.344953 36.083032 92.416189
2025-06-01 0.236245 0.705362 1.956950 5.450438 14.794280 38.101853 99.906044
2025-06-08 0.211478 0.650912 1.856432 5.311925 14.792645 39.010591 104.725531